Champions LeagueNot Startedens-nn-tabm-poisson-v1
Win probabilityhow the model works
PSVDrawShakhtar Donetsk
42%27%31%
2.0–1.0
Modeled xG
56%
Over 2.5 goals
54%
Both teams to score
Probabilities from our own model — estimates, not certainties, and sometimes wrong.
Probabilistic projection, not advice. Forecasts are informational only and can be wrong. Football outcomes are inherently uncertain. Terms
