Champions LeagueNot Startedens-nn-tabm-poisson-v1
Win probabilityhow the model works
LOSC LilleDrawGalatasaray
51%26%23%
1.7–1.5
Modeled xG
61%
Over 2.5 goals
58%
Both teams to score
Probabilities from our own model — estimates, not certainties, and sometimes wrong.
Recent form
Form
LOSC Lille
DWLWD
Form
Galatasaray
D
Home2–2Paris Saint Germain
W
Angers SCO02
Probabilistic projection, not advice. Forecasts are informational only and can be wrong. Football outcomes are inherently uncertain. Terms
