Champions LeagueNot Startedens-nn-tabm-poisson-v1
Win probabilityhow the model works
PortoDrawNapoli
36%26%38%
2.1–1.4
Modeled xG
61%
Over 2.5 goals
58%
Both teams to score
Probabilities from our own model — estimates, not certainties, and sometimes wrong.
Recent form
Form
Porto
Form
Napoli
LWWWL
L
Home1–2Como
W
Genoa02
Probabilistic projection, not advice. Forecasts are informational only and can be wrong. Football outcomes are inherently uncertain. Terms
