Champions LeagueNot Startedens-nn-tabm-poisson-v1
Win probabilityhow the model works
Borussia DortmundDrawAEK Athens
45%25%30%
2.0–1.5
Modeled xG
61%
Over 2.5 goals
56%
Both teams to score
Probabilities from our own model — estimates, not certainties, and sometimes wrong.
Recent form
Form
Borussia Dortmund
WWWLW
Form
AEK Athens
WD
W
Home2–0Hamburger SV
W
Home
Probabilistic projection, not advice. Forecasts are informational only and can be wrong. Football outcomes are inherently uncertain. Terms
