Champions LeagueNot Startedens-nn-tabm-poisson-v1
Win probabilityhow the model works
InterDrawShakhtar Donetsk
50%25%25%
2.3–1.0
Modeled xG
61%
Over 2.5 goals
58%
Both teams to score
Probabilities from our own model — estimates, not certainties, and sometimes wrong.
Recent form
Form
Inter
WWDDW
Form
Shakhtar Donetsk
W
Cagliari0–1Away
W
Home41
Probabilistic projection, not advice. Forecasts are informational only and can be wrong. Football outcomes are inherently uncertain. Terms
