Champions LeagueNot Startedens-nn-tabm-poisson-v1
Win probabilityhow the model works
AEK AthensDrawReal Madrid
31%25%44%
1.8–1.8
Modeled xG
61%
Over 2.5 goals
56%
Both teams to score
Probabilities from our own model — estimates, not certainties, and sometimes wrong.
Recent form
Form
AEK Athens
WD
Form
Real Madrid
WWWWW
W
Home4–0Levski Sofia
W
Home
Probabilistic projection, not advice. Forecasts are informational only and can be wrong. Football outcomes are inherently uncertain. Terms
