Champions LeagueNot Startedens-nn-tabm-poisson-v1
Win probabilityhow the model works
Shakhtar DonetskDrawReal Madrid
18%20%62%
1.3–1.8
Modeled xG
61%
Over 2.5 goals
49%
Both teams to score
Probabilities from our own model — estimates, not certainties, and sometimes wrong.
Recent form
Form
Shakhtar Donetsk
Form
Real Madrid
WWWWW
W
Home4–0Málaga
W
Home
Probabilistic projection, not advice. Forecasts are informational only and can be wrong. Football outcomes are inherently uncertain. Terms
