Champions LeagueNot Startedens-nn-tabm-poisson-v1
Win probabilityhow the model works
Sporting CPDrawFC Barcelona
25%19%56%
2.1–1.8
Modeled xG
61%
Over 2.5 goals
54%
Both teams to score
Probabilities from our own model — estimates, not certainties, and sometimes wrong.
Recent form
Form
Sporting CP
Form
FC Barcelona
WWWLW
W
Home5–2Rayo Vallecano
W
Home
Probabilistic projection, not advice. Forecasts are informational only and can be wrong. Football outcomes are inherently uncertain. Terms
