Champions LeagueNot Startedens-nn-tabm-poisson-v1
Win probabilityhow the model works
Real MadridDrawPSV
61%22%17%
2.3–1.6
Modeled xG
61%
Over 2.5 goals
52%
Both teams to score
Probabilities from our own model — estimates, not certainties, and sometimes wrong.
Recent form
Form
Real Madrid
WWWWW
Form
PSV
W
Home4–0Málaga
W
Home41
Probabilistic projection, not advice. Forecasts are informational only and can be wrong. Football outcomes are inherently uncertain. Terms
