La LigaFull Timeens-nn-tabm-poisson-v1
Win probabilityhow the model works
Celta de VigoDrawAthletic Club
35%29%36%
1.3–1.1
Modeled xG
53%
Over 2.5 goals
49%
Both teams to score
Probabilities from our own model — estimates, not certainties, and sometimes wrong.
0.82
Home xG
Expected goals
2.25
Away xG
Pressure index — avg per minute
8.7
20.5
Peak 76max pressurePeak 88
Top stats
54%Possession46%
0.82Expected goals (xG)2.25
8Total shots17
2Shots on target7
Probabilistic projection, not advice. Forecasts are informational only and can be wrong. Football outcomes are inherently uncertain. Terms
