La LigaFull Timeens-nn-tabm-poisson-v1
Win probabilityhow the model works
Real MadridDrawMálaga
79%13%8%
2.3–0.8
Modeled xG
61%
Over 2.5 goals
49%
Both teams to score
Probabilities from our own model — estimates, not certainties, and sometimes wrong.
2.86
Home xG
Expected goals
0.83
Away xG
Pressure index — avg per minute
24.5
5.9
Peak 100max pressurePeak 46
Top stats
56%Possession44%
2.86Expected goals (xG)0.83
19Total shots14
8Shots on target1
Probabilistic projection, not advice. Forecasts are informational only and can be wrong. Football outcomes are inherently uncertain. Terms
