Premier LeagueFull Timeens-nn-tabm-poisson-v1
Win probabilityhow the model works
Leeds UnitedDrawBrentford
40%28%32%
1.4–1.1
Modeled xG
56%
Over 2.5 goals
49%
Both teams to score
Market consensus · 8 bookmakers1 2.73X 3.602 2.42
implied (vig removed): 35% · 26% · 39%
Probabilities from our own model — estimates, not certainties, and sometimes wrong.
1.11
Home xG
Expected goals
1.89
Away xG
Pressure index — avg per minute
5.2
17.4
Peak 85max pressurePeak 73
Top stats
47%Possession53%
1.11Expected goals (xG)1.89
12Total shots22
2Shots on target5
Probabilistic projection, not advice. Forecasts are informational only and can be wrong. Football outcomes are inherently uncertain. Terms
