Premier LeagueFull Timeens-nn-tabm-poisson-v1
Win probabilityhow the model works
SunderlandDrawFulham
37%28%34%
1.3–0.9
Modeled xG
56%
Over 2.5 goals
49%
Both teams to score
Probabilities from our own model — estimates, not certainties, and sometimes wrong.
1.33
Home xG
Expected goals
0.66
Away xG
Pressure index — avg per minute
13.8
5.3
Peak 67max pressurePeak 60
Top stats
41%Possession59%
1.33Expected goals (xG)0.66
12Total shots11
4Shots on target0
Probabilistic projection, not advice. Forecasts are informational only and can be wrong. Football outcomes are inherently uncertain. Terms
