Premier LeagueNot Startedens-nn-tabm-poisson-v1
Win probabilityhow the model works
Crystal PalaceDrawIpswich Town
52%28%20%
1.5–0.7
Modeled xG
52%
Over 2.5 goals
49%
Both teams to score
Market consensus · 31 bookmakers1 1.89X 3.602 3.90
implied (vig removed): 50% · 26% · 24%
Probabilities from our own model — estimates, not certainties, and sometimes wrong.
Projected lineupsfq-xi-v1.1
Crystal Palace3-4-2-1
Probabilistic projection, not advice. Forecasts are informational only and can be wrong. Football outcomes are inherently uncertain. Terms
