Ligue 1Full Timeens-lgbm-poisson-v1
Win probabilityhow the model works
LorientDrawTroyes
54%30%16%
1.2–0.8
Modeled xG
39%
Over 2.5 goals
50%
Both teams to score
Probabilities from our own model — estimates, not certainties, and sometimes wrong.
1.41
Home xG
Expected goals
2.07
Away xG
Pressure index — avg per minute
14.3
7.5
Peak 100max pressurePeak 53
Top stats
67%Possession33%
1.41Expected goals (xG)2.07
15Total shots11
6Shots on target2
Probabilistic projection, not advice. Forecasts are informational only and can be wrong. Football outcomes are inherently uncertain. Terms
