Ligue 1Full Timeens-nn-tabm-poisson-v1
Win probabilityhow the model works
RennesDrawLe Mans
63%23%14%
1.5–0.8
Modeled xG
60%
Over 2.5 goals
49%
Both teams to score
Probabilities from our own model — estimates, not certainties, and sometimes wrong.
2.96
Home xG
Expected goals
2.51
Away xG
Pressure index — avg per minute
20.3
7.4
Peak 93max pressurePeak 87
Top stats
64%Possession36%
2.96Expected goals (xG)2.51
22Total shots12
8Shots on target5
Probabilistic projection, not advice. Forecasts are informational only and can be wrong. Football outcomes are inherently uncertain. Terms
