Ligue 1Not Startedens-nn-tabm-poisson-v1
Win probabilityhow the model works
Olympique LyonnaisDrawAuxerre
51%26%23%
1.8–1.1
Modeled xG
55%
Over 2.5 goals
56%
Both teams to score
Market consensus · 41 bookmakers1 1.50X 4.402 6.00
implied (vig removed): 63% · 21% · 16%
Probabilities from our own model — estimates, not certainties, and sometimes wrong.
Recent form
Form
Olympique Lyonnais
DLWDL
Form
Auxerre
LLWWW
D
Home1–1Le Havre
Probabilistic projection, not advice. Forecasts are informational only and can be wrong. Football outcomes are inherently uncertain. Terms
