Ligue 1Not Startedens-nn-tabm-poisson-v1
Win probabilityhow the model works
AuxerreDrawNice
50%27%22%
1.5–1.0
Modeled xG
60%
Over 2.5 goals
58%
Both teams to score
Market consensus · 31 bookmakers1 2.43X 3.202 2.85
implied (vig removed): 38% · 29% · 33%
Probabilities from our own model — estimates, not certainties, and sometimes wrong.
Recent form
Form
Auxerre
LLWWW
Form
Nice
LDDLD
L
Home1–3Angers SCO
Probabilistic projection, not advice. Forecasts are informational only and can be wrong. Football outcomes are inherently uncertain. Terms
