Serie AFull Timeens-nn-tabm-poisson-v1
Win probabilityhow the model works
LazioDrawGenoa
55%26%19%
1.2–0.9
Modeled xG
56%
Over 2.5 goals
58%
Both teams to score
Market consensus · 6 bookmakers1 1.77X 3.402 4.50
implied (vig removed): 52% · 27% · 21%
Probabilities from our own model — estimates, not certainties, and sometimes wrong.
1.19
Home xG
Expected goals
0.59
Away xG
Pressure index — avg per minute
14.2
6.7
Peak 59max pressurePeak 76
Top stats
46%Possession54%
1.19Expected goals (xG)0.59
15Total shots8
2Shots on target1
Probabilistic projection, not advice. Forecasts are informational only and can be wrong. Football outcomes are inherently uncertain. Terms
