Serie AFull Timeens-nn-tabm-poisson-v1
Win probabilityhow the model works
NapoliDrawComo
32%28%40%
1.2–1.1
Modeled xG
61%
Over 2.5 goals
56%
Both teams to score
Market consensus · 6 bookmakers1 2.13X 3.232 3.23
implied (vig removed): 43% · 28% · 28%
Probabilities from our own model — estimates, not certainties, and sometimes wrong.
1.88
Home xG
Expected goals
1.15
Away xG
Pressure index — avg per minute
11.4
12.9
Peak 72max pressurePeak 89
Top stats
42%Possession58%
1.88Expected goals (xG)1.15
13Total shots21
2Shots on target6
Probabilistic projection, not advice. Forecasts are informational only and can be wrong. Football outcomes are inherently uncertain. Terms
