We publish our record — right or wrong. Every number below is computed from real, settled match outcomes, comparing the outcome our model called (its highest-probability pick) against what actually happened. Picks are probabilistic opinions, not advice.
The model figure is our own live forecasts, scored on real results. The bookmaker baselineis the betting market's implied favourite on a large history of matches — the number to beat. We do notclaim to beat the market, and we don't sell picks or take wagers. Football is high-variance: even a well-calibrated model is wrong on plenty of individual matches. Treat every pick as an informed opinion, not a certainty.
Probabilistic projection, not advice. Forecasts are informational only and can be wrong — see our model's live record on the Accuracy page. Football outcomes are inherently uncertain. Accuracy · Terms