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Villarreal

TS59.5

vs

Tue, 13 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC

Away

Napoli

TS65.5

Win probabilityhow the model works

VillarrealDrawNapoli

47%27%27%

1.5–1.1

Modeled xG

61%

Over 2.5 goals

56%

Both teams to score

Probabilities from our own model — estimates, not certainties, and sometimes wrong.

Probabilistic projection, not advice. Forecasts are informational only and can be wrong. Football outcomes are inherently uncertain. Terms