Champions LeagueNot Startedens-nn-tabm-poisson-v1
Win probabilityhow the model works
ComoDrawParis Saint Germain
47%26%27%
1.6–1.3
Modeled xG
61%
Over 2.5 goals
56%
Both teams to score
Probabilities from our own model — estimates, not certainties, and sometimes wrong.
Recent form
Form
Como
WDWWW
Form
Paris Saint Germain
DDWLW
W
Napoli1–2Away
Probabilistic projection, not advice. Forecasts are informational only and can be wrong. Football outcomes are inherently uncertain. Terms
