Manchester City vs Napoli — Win Probability, Form & H2H

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TS82.6

Tue, 8 Sept 2026, 19:00 UTC

Away

TS65.5

Manchester CityDrawNapoli

65%21%13%

2.2–0.9

Modeled xG

61%

Over 2.5 goals

56%

Both teams to score

Probabilities from our own model — estimates, not certainties, and sometimes wrong.

Projected lineupsfq-xi-v1.1

Manchester City4-2-3-1

Probabilistic projection, not advice. Forecasts are informational only and can be wrong. Football outcomes are inherently uncertain. Terms