Champions LeagueNot Startedens-nn-tabm-poisson-v1
Win probabilityhow the model works
Real MadridDrawRB Leipzig
54%24%22%
2.0–1.4
Modeled xG
61%
Over 2.5 goals
52%
Both teams to score
Probabilities from our own model — estimates, not certainties, and sometimes wrong.
Recent form
Form
Real Madrid
WWWWW
Form
RB Leipzig
WLWLW
W
Home4–0Málaga
Probabilistic projection, not advice. Forecasts are informational only and can be wrong. Football outcomes are inherently uncertain. Terms
