BundesligaNot Startedens-nn-tabm-poisson-v1
Win probabilityhow the model works
VfB StuttgartDrawFC Köln
53%24%23%
2.4–1.3
Modeled xG
52%
Over 2.5 goals
58%
Both teams to score
Market consensus · 42 bookmakers1 1.52X 4.702 5.39
implied (vig removed): 62% · 20% · 18%
Probabilities from our own model — estimates, not certainties, and sometimes wrong.
Recent form
Form
VfB Stuttgart
LDWDD
Form
FC Köln
WLLDL
L
FC Bayern München5–1Away
Probabilistic projection, not advice. Forecasts are informational only and can be wrong. Football outcomes are inherently uncertain. Terms
