BundesligaNot Startedens-nn-tabm-poisson-v1
Win probabilityhow the model works
TSG HoffenheimDrawBorussia Dortmund
28%25%47%
1.3–1.5
Modeled xG
61%
Over 2.5 goals
56%
Both teams to score
Market consensus · 42 bookmakers1 2.88X 3.802 2.21
implied (vig removed): 33% · 25% · 43%
Probabilities from our own model — estimates, not certainties, and sometimes wrong.
Recent form
Form
TSG Hoffenheim
LLWDW
Form
Borussia Dortmund
WWWLW
L
FC Köln3–2Away
Probabilistic projection, not advice. Forecasts are informational only and can be wrong. Football outcomes are inherently uncertain. Terms
