BundesligaNot Startedens-nn-tabm-poisson-v1
Win probabilityhow the model works
Werder BremenDrawRB Leipzig
23%23%55%
1.2–1.7
Modeled xG
61%
Over 2.5 goals
49%
Both teams to score
Market consensus · 42 bookmakers1 3.98X 4.052 1.79
implied (vig removed): 24% · 23% · 53%
Probabilities from our own model — estimates, not certainties, and sometimes wrong.
Recent form
Form
Werder Bremen
LLLLD
Form
RB Leipzig
WLWLW
L
SC Freiburg4–1Away
Probabilistic projection, not advice. Forecasts are informational only and can be wrong. Football outcomes are inherently uncertain. Terms
