BundesligaNot Startedens-nn-tabm-poisson-v1
Win probabilityhow the model works
PaderbornDrawSC Freiburg
24%26%50%
1.0–1.2
Modeled xG
52%
Over 2.5 goals
58%
Both teams to score
Market consensus · 42 bookmakers1 3.30X 3.652 2.04
implied (vig removed): 28% · 26% · 46%
Probabilities from our own model — estimates, not certainties, and sometimes wrong.
Recent form
Form
Paderborn
D
Form
SC Freiburg
WWWWL
D
FSV Mainz 050–0Away
W
Home4–1
Probabilistic projection, not advice. Forecasts are informational only and can be wrong. Football outcomes are inherently uncertain. Terms
