BundesligaNot Startedens-nn-tabm-poisson-v1
Win probabilityhow the model works
RB LeipzigDrawHamburger SV
71%18%11%
2.4–1.1
Modeled xG
59%
Over 2.5 goals
58%
Both teams to score
Market consensus · 33 bookmakers1 1.34X 5.252 7.50
implied (vig removed): 70% · 18% · 12%
Probabilities from our own model — estimates, not certainties, and sometimes wrong.
Recent form
Form
RB Leipzig
WLWLW
Form
Hamburger SV
LDWWL
W
Home3–0Borussia Mönchengladbach
Probabilistic projection, not advice. Forecasts are informational only and can be wrong. Football outcomes are inherently uncertain. Terms
