BundesligaNot Startedens-nn-tabm-poisson-v1
Win probabilityhow the model works
TSG HoffenheimDrawVfB Stuttgart
40%26%34%
1.7–1.6
Modeled xG
61%
Over 2.5 goals
56%
Both teams to score
Market consensus · 33 bookmakers1 2.30X 3.802 2.70
implied (vig removed): 41% · 25% · 35%
Probabilities from our own model — estimates, not certainties, and sometimes wrong.
Recent form
Form
TSG Hoffenheim
LLWDW
Form
VfB Stuttgart
LDWDD
L
FC Köln3–2Away
Probabilistic projection, not advice. Forecasts are informational only and can be wrong. Football outcomes are inherently uncertain. Terms
