BundesligaNot Startedens-nn-tabm-poisson-v1
Win probabilityhow the model works
FSV Mainz 05DrawEintracht Frankfurt
54%25%21%
1.9–1.2
Modeled xG
60%
Over 2.5 goals
58%
Both teams to score
Market consensus · 33 bookmakers1 2.10X 3.602 3.08
implied (vig removed): 44% · 26% · 30%
Probabilities from our own model — estimates, not certainties, and sometimes wrong.
Recent form
Form
FSV Mainz 05
DWLWL
Form
Eintracht Frankfurt
DDLLD
D
Home0–0Paderborn
Probabilistic projection, not advice. Forecasts are informational only and can be wrong. Football outcomes are inherently uncertain. Terms
