BundesligaNot Startedens-nn-tabm-poisson-v1
Win probabilityhow the model works
FC Union BerlinDrawSchalke 04
58%25%17%
1.1–0.8
Modeled xG
55%
Over 2.5 goals
49%
Both teams to score
Market consensus · 33 bookmakers1 2.00X 3.702 3.20
implied (vig removed): 46% · 25% · 29%
Probabilities from our own model — estimates, not certainties, and sometimes wrong.
Recent form
Form
FC Union Berlin
DWWDL
Form
Schalke 04
LLDLW
D
Home3–3Eintracht Frankfurt
Probabilistic projection, not advice. Forecasts are informational only and can be wrong. Football outcomes are inherently uncertain. Terms
