BundesligaNot Startedens-nn-tabm-poisson-v1
Win probabilityhow the model works
Hamburger SVDrawFC Köln
33%27%40%
1.7–1.5
Modeled xG
52%
Over 2.5 goals
58%
Both teams to score
Probabilities from our own model — estimates, not certainties, and sometimes wrong.
Recent form
Form
Hamburger SV
LDWWL
Form
FC Köln
WLLDL
L
Borussia Dortmund2–0Away
Probabilistic projection, not advice. Forecasts are informational only and can be wrong. Football outcomes are inherently uncertain. Terms
