La LigaNot Startedens-nn-tabm-poisson-v1
Win probabilityhow the model works
Deportivo AlavésDrawOsasuna
45%28%26%
1.5–1.0
Modeled xG
60%
Over 2.5 goals
56%
Both teams to score
Market consensus · 39 bookmakers1 2.25X 3.102 3.40
implied (vig removed): 42% · 30% · 28%
Probabilities from our own model — estimates, not certainties, and sometimes wrong.
Recent form
Form
Deportivo Alavés
WDWLW
Form
Osasuna
WWDLL
W
Home1–0Villarreal
Probabilistic projection, not advice. Forecasts are informational only and can be wrong. Football outcomes are inherently uncertain. Terms
