La LigaNot Startedens-nn-tabm-poisson-v1
Win probabilityhow the model works
Athletic ClubDrawAtlético de Madrid
37%26%37%
1.7–1.3
Modeled xG
56%
Over 2.5 goals
56%
Both teams to score
Probabilities from our own model — estimates, not certainties, and sometimes wrong.
Recent form
Form
Athletic Club
WLLLD
Form
Atlético de Madrid
WDWLW
W
Celta de Vigo0–2Away
Probabilistic projection, not advice. Forecasts are informational only and can be wrong. Football outcomes are inherently uncertain. Terms
