La LigaNot Startedens-nn-tabm-poisson-v1
Win probabilityhow the model works
Real BetisDrawReal Madrid
22%21%58%
1.3–1.6
Modeled xG
61%
Over 2.5 goals
56%
Both teams to score
Market consensus · 38 bookmakers1 7.00X 5.252 1.38
implied (vig removed): 14% · 18% · 68%
Probabilities from our own model — estimates, not certainties, and sometimes wrong.
Projected lineupsfq-xi-v1.1
Real Betis4-5-1squad-based
Probabilistic projection, not advice. Forecasts are informational only and can be wrong. Football outcomes are inherently uncertain. Terms