La LigaNot Startedens-nn-tabm-poisson-v1
Win probabilityhow the model works
MálagaDrawLevante
28%28%44%
1.0–1.0
Modeled xG
56%
Over 2.5 goals
49%
Both teams to score
Market consensus · 39 bookmakers1 2.45X 3.302 2.90
implied (vig removed): 39% · 29% · 33%
Probabilities from our own model — estimates, not certainties, and sometimes wrong.
Projected lineupsfq-xi-v1.1
Levante3-4-3squad-based
Probabilistic projection, not advice. Forecasts are informational only and can be wrong. Football outcomes are inherently uncertain. Terms