La LigaNot Startedens-nn-tabm-poisson-v1
Win probabilityhow the model works
ValenciaDrawFC Barcelona
14%19%66%
1.0–1.7
Modeled xG
56%
Over 2.5 goals
49%
Both teams to score
Market consensus · 39 bookmakers1 9.00X 6.002 1.28
implied (vig removed): 10% · 16% · 74%
Probabilities from our own model — estimates, not certainties, and sometimes wrong.
Recent form
Form
Valencia
LLDWW
Form
FC Barcelona
WWWLW
L
Deportivo A Coruña3–1Away
Probabilistic projection, not advice. Forecasts are informational only and can be wrong. Football outcomes are inherently uncertain. Terms
