La LigaNot Startedens-nn-tabm-poisson-v1
Win probabilityhow the model works
OsasunaDrawEspanyol
51%27%22%
1.5–0.9
Modeled xG
60%
Over 2.5 goals
52%
Both teams to score
Market consensus · 21 bookmakers1 1.91X 3.402 3.95
implied (vig removed): 49% · 27% · 24%
Probabilities from our own model — estimates, not certainties, and sometimes wrong.
Recent form
Form
Osasuna
WWDLL
Form
Espanyol
LLWDW
W
Home1–0Getafe
Probabilistic projection, not advice. Forecasts are informational only and can be wrong. Football outcomes are inherently uncertain. Terms
