La LigaNot Startedens-nn-tabm-poisson-v1
Win probabilityhow the model works
Real SociedadDrawAtlético de Madrid
30%24%46%
1.9–1.6
Modeled xG
61%
Over 2.5 goals
49%
Both teams to score
Probabilities from our own model — estimates, not certainties, and sometimes wrong.
Recent form
Form
Real Sociedad
WLLDL
Form
Atlético de Madrid
WDWLW
W
Home2–1Espanyol
Probabilistic projection, not advice. Forecasts are informational only and can be wrong. Football outcomes are inherently uncertain. Terms
