La LigaNot Startedens-nn-tabm-poisson-v1
Win probabilityhow the model works
ElcheDrawReal Madrid
15%17%68%
1.0–1.7
Modeled xG
61%
Over 2.5 goals
49%
Both teams to score
Probabilities from our own model — estimates, not certainties, and sometimes wrong.
Recent form
Form
Elche
LLDDW
Form
Real Madrid
WWWWW
L
Racing Santander3–2Away
Probabilistic projection, not advice. Forecasts are informational only and can be wrong. Football outcomes are inherently uncertain. Terms
