La LigaNot Startedens-nn-tabm-poisson-v1
Win probabilityhow the model works
MálagaDrawVillarreal
22%23%55%
1.0–1.3
Modeled xG
56%
Over 2.5 goals
49%
Both teams to score
Probabilities from our own model — estimates, not certainties, and sometimes wrong.
Recent form
Form
Málaga
LDL
Form
Villarreal
LDDWL
L
Real Madrid4–0Away
L
Probabilistic projection, not advice. Forecasts are informational only and can be wrong. Football outcomes are inherently uncertain. Terms
