La LigaNot Startedens-nn-tabm-poisson-v1
Win probabilityhow the model works
Real SociedadDrawCelta de Vigo
45%29%27%
1.7–1.1
Modeled xG
55%
Over 2.5 goals
49%
Both teams to score
Probabilities from our own model — estimates, not certainties, and sometimes wrong.
Recent form
Form
Real Sociedad
WLLDL
Form
Celta de Vigo
LLDWD
W
Home2–1Espanyol
Probabilistic projection, not advice. Forecasts are informational only and can be wrong. Football outcomes are inherently uncertain. Terms
