Premier LeagueNot Startedens-nn-tabm-poisson-v1
Win probabilityhow the model works
BrentfordDrawSunderland
55%26%19%
1.6–0.9
Modeled xG
53%
Over 2.5 goals
56%
Both teams to score
Market consensus · 43 bookmakers1 1.58X 4.002 5.56
implied (vig removed): 60% · 24% · 17%
Probabilities from our own model — estimates, not certainties, and sometimes wrong.
Projected lineupsfq-xi-v1.1
Brentford4-2-3-1
Probabilistic projection, not advice. Forecasts are informational only and can be wrong. Football outcomes are inherently uncertain. Terms
