Ipswich Town vs Liverpool — Win Probability, Form & H2H

Skip to content

Sign In Get Started

Founding Beta

Tactico is built around Player & Club Data, Match Intelligence, Predictive Modeling, and Research & Visualization — understand the system, not the surface.

Core

Club football as the permanent base

Launch

The 26/27 season, priced in public

Transparency

Public roadmap and visible system progress

The standard

Methodology →

Every score is deterministic, evidence-gated, and confidence-labelled. Football intelligence should be explainable — not a black box with a number on the front. The methodology is part of the product, not a legal page.

Deterministic scoringFree during betaPublication gate active

Core

Players Clubs Matches World Cup Archive Roadmap

Product

Compare Rankings Forecast Methodology Membership Intelligence Hub Predictive Modeling Market & Value

Legal

Privacy Terms© 2026 Tactico SportsPowered bySPORTMONKS

Tactico Sports provides statistics, analysis, and opinion for informational and entertainment purposes only. Nothing on this site is betting, financial, or professional advice. Projections and picks are probabilistic opinions and may be wrong. Odds referenced may change and should be verified with the source. 21+ where applicable. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER. Tactico Sports currently has no sportsbook partnerships or affiliate relationships; any future relationship will be clearly disclosed. Tactico Sports (tacticosports.com) is a football data and AI analysis platform and is unrelated to tacticosport.com, a separate grassroots sports organisation. Data sources · Terms · Privacy

Ipswich Town vs Liverpool — Win Probability, Form & H2H

Premier LeagueNot Startedens-nn-tabm-poisson-v1

Ipswich Town

Home

TS29.8

vs

Fri, 4 Sept 2026, 19:00 UTC

Liverpool

Away

TS80.0

Win probabilityhow the model works

Ipswich TownDrawLiverpool

18%21%61%

0.8–1.7

Modeled xG

52%

Over 2.5 goals

51%

Both teams to score

Market consensus · 43 bookmakers1 5.40X 4.602 1.53

implied (vig removed): 18% · 21% · 62%

Probabilities from our own model — estimates, not certainties, and sometimes wrong.

Projected lineupsfq-xi-v1.1

Ipswich Town4-2-3-1

← All matches Match forecasts Compare these clubs

Probabilistic projection, not advice. Forecasts are informational only and can be wrong. Football outcomes are inherently uncertain. Terms

59.0

O'Shea

Liverpool4-2-3-1

Ipswich Townteam news

OUTMatusiwa— Muscular injury - Unknown return date

OUTTaylor— Knee injury - Unknown return date

OUTPhilogene— Ankle injury - Unknown return date

OUTBurns— Has joined Leicester City permanently

OUTHirst— Has joined Stoke City permanently

OUTSzmodics— Has joined Derby County on loan for the rest of the season

OUTAl-Hamadi— Has joined Sheffield Wednesday on loan for the rest of the season

OUTVan Oevelen— Has joined Valencia on loan for the rest of the season

Liverpoolteam news

OUTJaros— Knee injury - Unknown return date

OUTGomez— Muscular injury - Unknown return date

OUTBradley— Knee injury - Unknown return date

OUTLeoni— Knee injury - Unknown return date

OUTChiesa— Back injury - Unknown return date

OUTEkitiké— Achilles injury - Unknown return date

OUTDanns— Unspecified injury - Unknown return date

OUTPecsi— Has joined TSV Hartberg on loan for the rest of the season

Projected from the last 5 real team sheets, the current squad, and availability from the official FPL feed (synced 2 Sept) — not confirmed team news. Injured, suspended, and departed players are excluded; ? = flagged doubtful; dashed ring = squad-depth fill.

Badge = projected Tactico Match Rating (fq-mr-v1): player score + form + opponent strength + venue. Dots = starts in those sheets.

Recent form

Form

Ipswich Town

LWLLL

Form

Liverpool

DDDLD

L

Manchester United5–2Away

30 Aug

D

Home2–2Nottingham Forest

29 Aug

W

Home2–1Sunderland

22 Aug

D

Newcastle United2–2Away

23 Aug

L

Home1–3West Ham United

25 May

D

Home1–1Brentford

24 May

L

Leicester City2–0Away

18 May

L

Aston Villa4–2Away

15 May

L

Home0–1Brentford

10 May

D

Home1–1Chelsea

9 May

1W0D4L5–12

0W4D1L8–10

Head to head

Head to Head

0

Ipswich Town wins

0

Draws

2

Liverpool wins

2 meetings

25 JanLiverpool4–1Ipswich Town 17 AugIpswich Town0–2Liverpool

Who will win?

18%

Ipswich Town

21%

Draw

61%

Liverpool

Our model's own number for this match. How it's built

Venue

StadiumPortman Road Stadium

LocationIpswich

Capacity29,673

Surfacegrass

Virgil