Nottingham Forest vs Tottenham Hotspur — Win Probability, Form & H2H

Skip to content

Sign In Get Started

Founding Beta

Tactico is built around Player & Club Data, Match Intelligence, Predictive Modeling, and Research & Visualization — understand the system, not the surface.

Core

Club football as the permanent base

Launch

The 26/27 season, priced in public

Transparency

Public roadmap and visible system progress

The standard

Methodology →

Every score is deterministic, evidence-gated, and confidence-labelled. Football intelligence should be explainable — not a black box with a number on the front. The methodology is part of the product, not a legal page.

Deterministic scoringFree during betaPublication gate active

Core

Players Clubs Matches World Cup Archive Roadmap

Product

Compare Rankings Forecast Methodology Membership Intelligence Hub Predictive Modeling Market & Value

Legal

Privacy Terms© 2026 Tactico SportsPowered bySPORTMONKS

Tactico Sports provides statistics, analysis, and opinion for informational and entertainment purposes only. Nothing on this site is betting, financial, or professional advice. Projections and picks are probabilistic opinions and may be wrong. Odds referenced may change and should be verified with the source. 21+ where applicable. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER. Tactico Sports currently has no sportsbook partnerships or affiliate relationships; any future relationship will be clearly disclosed. Tactico Sports (tacticosports.com) is a football data and AI analysis platform and is unrelated to tacticosport.com, a separate grassroots sports organisation. Data sources · Terms · Privacy

Nottingham Forest vs Tottenham Hotspur — Win Probability, Form & H2H

Premier LeagueNot Startedens-nn-tabm-poisson-v1

Nottingham Forest

Home

Nottingham Forest

TS53.5

vs

Sat, 5 Sept 2026, 14:00 UTC

Tottenham Hotspur

Away

Tottenham Hotspur

TS56.0

Win probabilityhow the model works

Nottingham ForestDrawTottenham Hotspur

47%27%26%

1.6–0.9

Modeled xG

56%

Over 2.5 goals

49%

Both teams to score

Market consensus · 43 bookmakers1 2.45X 3.402 2.80

implied (vig removed): 39% · 28% · 34%

Probabilities from our own model — estimates, not certainties, and sometimes wrong.

Projected lineupsfq-xi-v1.1

Nottingham Forest3-4-2-1

← All matches Match forecasts Compare these clubs

Probabilistic projection, not advice. Forecasts are informational only and can be wrong. Football outcomes are inherently uncertain. Terms

58.0

Jair Cunha

Tottenham Hotspur4-2-3-1

Nottingham Forestteam news

OUTSavona— Knee injury - Unknown return date

OUTI.Sangaré— Calf injury - Unknown return date

OUTBindon— Has joined Charlton Athletic on loan for the rest of the season

OUTHutchinson— Has joined AC Milan on loan for the rest of the season

OUTBakwa— Has joined Lille on loan for the rest of the season

Tottenham Hotspurteam news

OUTXavi— Knee injury - Unknown return date

OUTOdobert— Knee injury - Unknown return date

OUTKulusevski— Knee injury - Unknown return date

OUTVicario— Has joined Juventus on loan for the rest of the season

OUTRomero— Has joined Atletico Madrid permanently

OUTSpence— Has joined Internazionale permanently

OUTPhillips— Has joined Middlesbrough permanently

OUTSouza— Has joined FC Porto on loan for the rest of the season

Projected from the last 5 real team sheets, the current squad, and availability from the official FPL feed (synced 2 Sept) — not confirmed team news. Injured, suspended, and departed players are excluded; ? = flagged doubtful; dashed ring = squad-depth fill.

Badge = projected Tactico Match Rating (fq-mr-v1): player score + form + opponent strength + venue. Dots = starts in those sheets.

Recent form

Form

Nottingham Forest

DLDLD

Form

Tottenham Hotspur

LLWLD

D

Liverpool2–2Away

29 Aug

L

Home0–2Newcastle United

29 Aug

L

Home0–1Leeds United

22 Aug

L

Brentford3–0Away

22 Aug

D

Home1–1AFC Bournemouth

24 May

W

Home1–0Everton

24 May

L

Manchester United3–2Away

17 May

L

Chelsea2–1Away

19 May

D

Home1–1Newcastle United

10 May

D

Home1–1Leeds United

11 May

0W3D2L6–8

1W1D3L3–8

Head to head

Head to Head

4

Nottingham Forest wins

0

Draws

4

Tottenham Hotspur wins

8 meetings

22 MarTottenham Hotspur0–3Nottingham Forest 14 DecNottingham Forest3–0Tottenham Hotspur 21 AprTottenham Hotspur1–2Nottingham Forest 26 DecNottingham Forest1–0Tottenham Hotspur 7 AprTottenham Hotspur3–1Nottingham Forest

Who will win?

47%

Nottingham Forest

27%

Draw

26%

Tottenham Hotspur

Our model's own number for this match. How it's built

Venue

StadiumThe City Ground

LocationNottingham

Capacity30,445

Surfacegrass

Van de Ven