Coventry City vs Brighton & Hove Albion — Win Probability, Form & H2H

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Tactico Sports provides statistics, analysis, and opinion for informational and entertainment purposes only. Nothing on this site is betting, financial, or professional advice. Projections and picks are probabilistic opinions and may be wrong. Odds referenced may change and should be verified with the source. 21+ where applicable. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER. Tactico Sports currently has no sportsbook partnerships or affiliate relationships; any future relationship will be clearly disclosed. Tactico Sports (tacticosports.com) is a football data and AI analysis platform and is unrelated to tacticosport.com, a separate grassroots sports organisation. Data sources · Terms · Privacy

Coventry City vs Brighton & Hove Albion — Win Probability, Form & H2H

Premier LeagueNot Startedens-nn-tabm-poisson-v1

Coventry City

Home

TS36.7

vs

Sun, 13 Sept 2026, 13:00 UTC

Brighton & Hove Albion

Away

Brighton & Hove Albion

TS59.1

Win probabilityhow the model works

Coventry CityDrawBrighton & Hove Albion

22%23%55%

1.0–1.3

Modeled xG

61%

Over 2.5 goals

52%

Both teams to score

Probabilities from our own model — estimates, not certainties, and sometimes wrong.

Projected lineupsfq-xi-v1.1

Coventry City4-2-3-1

← All matches Match forecasts Compare these clubs

Probabilistic projection, not advice. Forecasts are informational only and can be wrong. Football outcomes are inherently uncertain. Terms

55.9

van Ewijk

Brighton & Hove Albion4-2-3-1

Coventry Cityteam news

OUTKesler-Hayden— Hamstring injury - Unknown return date

OUTWoolfenden— Knee injury - Unknown return date

OUTWright— Thigh injury - Unknown return date

OUTBrau— Has joined Academico de Viseu on loan for the rest of the season

OUTAndrews— Has joined Oxford United on loan for the rest of the season

OUTMarkelo— Has joined Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai permanently

OUTBassette— Has joined KVC Westerlo on loan for the rest of the season

Brighton & Hove Albionteam news

OUTMitoma— Hamstring injury - Unknown return date

OUTMinteh— Leg injury - Expected back 28 Nov

OUTTzimas— Knee injury - Unknown return date

OUTFerguson— Ankle injury - Expected back 10 Oct

OUTBuonanotte— Has joined Elche on loan for the rest of the season

OUTHowell— Has joined Leicester City on loan for the rest of the season

OUTWatson— Has joined Leicester City on loan for the rest of the season

DOUBTHinshelwood— Unspecified injury - 50% chance of playing

Projected from the last 5 real team sheets, the current squad, and availability from the official FPL feed (synced 2 Sept) — not confirmed team news. Injured, suspended, and departed players are excluded; ? = flagged doubtful; dashed ring = squad-depth fill.

Badge = projected Tactico Match Rating (fq-mr-v1): player score + form + opponent strength + venue. Dots = starts in those sheets.

Recent form

Form

Coventry City

LL

Form

Brighton & Hove Albion

LWWDL

L

Home0–1Hull City

29 Aug

L

Chelsea4–3Away

30 Aug

L

Arsenal3–0Away

21 Aug

W

Home4–0Tromsø

27 Aug

W

Home4–0Aston Villa

23 Aug

D

Tromsø0–0Away

20 Aug

L

Home0–3Manchester United

24 May

0W0D2L0–4

2W1D2L11–7

Who will win?

22%

Coventry City

23%

Draw

55%

Brighton & Hove Albion

Our model's own number for this match. How it's built

Venue

StadiumThe Coventry Building Society Arena

LocationCoventry

Capacity32,609

Surfacegrass