Premier LeagueNot Startedens-nn-tabm-poisson-v1
Win probabilityhow the model works
Tottenham HotspurDrawEverton
40%28%32%
1.2–1.2
Modeled xG
55%
Over 2.5 goals
58%
Both teams to score
Market consensus · 33 bookmakers1 1.98X 3.452 3.65
implied (vig removed): 47% · 27% · 26%
Probabilities from our own model — estimates, not certainties, and sometimes wrong.
Projected lineupsfq-xi-v1.1
Tottenham Hotspur4-2-3-1
Probabilistic projection, not advice. Forecasts are informational only and can be wrong. Football outcomes are inherently uncertain. Terms
