AFC Bournemouth vs Liverpool — Win Probability, Form & H2H

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AFC Bournemouth vs Liverpool — Win Probability, Form & H2H

Premier LeagueNot Startedens-nn-tabm-poisson-v1

AFC Bournemouth

Home

AFC Bournemouth

TS59.1

vs

Sun, 20 Sept 2026, 13:00 UTC

Liverpool

Away

TS80.0

Win probabilityhow the model works

AFC BournemouthDrawLiverpool

44%25%31%

2.1–1.4

Modeled xG

61%

Over 2.5 goals

56%

Both teams to score

Probabilities from our own model — estimates, not certainties, and sometimes wrong.

Projected lineupsfq-xi-v1.1

AFC Bournemouth4-2-3-1

← All matches Match forecasts Compare these clubs

Probabilistic projection, not advice. Forecasts are informational only and can be wrong. Football outcomes are inherently uncertain. Terms

53.7

Smith

Liverpool4-2-3-1

AFC Bournemouthteam news

OUTMilosavljević— Unspecified injury - Unknown return date

OUTJ.Araujo— Thigh injury - Unknown return date

OUTAdli— Unspecified injury - Unknown return date

OUTKroupi.Jr— Foot injury - Unknown return date

OUTDennis— Has joined MK Dons permanently

OUTEnes Ünal— Has joined Getafe permanently

Liverpoolteam news

OUTJaros— Knee injury - Unknown return date

OUTGomez— Muscular injury - Unknown return date

OUTBradley— Knee injury - Unknown return date

OUTLeoni— Knee injury - Unknown return date

OUTChiesa— Back injury - Unknown return date

OUTEkitiké— Achilles injury - Unknown return date

OUTDanns— Unspecified injury - Unknown return date

OUTPecsi— Has joined TSV Hartberg on loan for the rest of the season

Projected from the last 5 real team sheets, the current squad, and availability from the official FPL feed (synced 2 Sept) — not confirmed team news. Injured, suspended, and departed players are excluded; ? = flagged doubtful; dashed ring = squad-depth fill.

Badge = projected Tactico Match Rating (fq-mr-v1): player score + form + opponent strength + venue. Dots = starts in those sheets.

Recent form

Form

AFC Bournemouth

DLDDW

Form

Liverpool

DDDLD

D

Home1–1Everton

29 Aug

D

Home2–2Nottingham Forest

29 Aug

L

Manchester City2–1Away

23 Aug

D

Newcastle United2–2Away

23 Aug

D

Nottingham Forest1–1Away

24 May

D

Home1–1Brentford

24 May

D

Home1–1Manchester City

19 May

L

Aston Villa4–2Away

15 May

W

Fulham0–1Away

9 May

D

Home1–1Chelsea

9 May

1W3D1L5–5

0W4D1L8–10

Head to head

Head to Head

2

AFC Bournemouth wins

0

Draws

6

Liverpool wins

8 meetings

24 JanAFC Bournemouth3–2Liverpool 15 AugLiverpool4–2AFC Bournemouth 1 FebAFC Bournemouth0–2Liverpool 21 SeptLiverpool3–0AFC Bournemouth 21 JanAFC Bournemouth0–4Liverpool

Who will win?

44%

AFC Bournemouth

25%

Draw

31%

Liverpool

Our model's own number for this match. How it's built

Venue

StadiumVitality Stadium

LocationBournemouth

Capacity11,700

Surfacegrass

Virgil